he can't get to the fourth quarter -- >> we'll see what obama shows up in two weeks. >> who will win this thursday? joe biden has got to win, because the tie goes i think to the other guy. >> i think it's a tie. >> i think biden will win. i think he's a terrific debater. i think a lot of people underestimate him. >> not you, not me. thank you both. >>> coming up, unmasking the so-called mitt. he pulled a classic et asketch last week. when is president obama going to stop talking about big bird and go after the big stuff and the other guy? >>> also the war in the west, senate races in north dakota, montana, nevada and arizona, they're all toss-ups. tonight a democrat making a, richard carmona is here. >>> and jon stewart takes on the jobbers, the right-leaning conspiracy theorists who say the unemployment numbers were sent in from obama headquarters in chicago. >> it's a [ bleep ] recipe. it's like the radish stew of jobless numbers. >>> finally let me finish with the real differences between these two candidates. this is "hardball," the place for politics. [ fishing rod casting line,